Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts

Monday, May 20, 2013

The Week Ahead

Last week MBTPI's analysis was highlighted in a story about gambling's future in Maryland, and Neil Bergsman talked with MarylandReporter.com about the need to pay state employees market-rate salaries. Neil also had an op-ed in the Baltimore Sun, highlighting the reasons why Maryland is a great place to do business.

Neil's op-ed was a summary of his blog post on the same topic. We also blogged about a pilot program to reduce childhood hunger, and the latest state-level employment figures.

For the week of May 20th to May 26th:

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Reflections on the election

Now that the glow from all that late night election-return television watching has faded, we thought we'd share some thoughts about the impact of the election on Maryland going forward.

The most important issue facing Maryland in the next three months is the looming fiscal cliff (or slope, as some have called it). Either the lame duck or the newly elected Congress will have to decide what, if anything, to do about expiring federal tax cuts and the mandatory spending cuts (known as sequestration) set for January. While both measures might help reduce the federal deficit in the short-term, the long-term effects would be devastating in human terms, and would likely push the country back into recession. The Washington Post has collected a number of graphics together to help explain the fiscal cliff at the national level.

In Maryland, the effects of falling off the fiscal cliff would be multiple. The state would see an immediate reduction in federal aid of $117.6 million (see pages 22-24) due to sequestration in fiscal year 2013. The state would also lose up to 53,500 jobs and $268 million in personal income and sales taxes, the largest local revenue sources for the state. This loss of revenue and increased demand for services by the newly unemployed would put significant pressure on the state's budget. The effect in later years would be even more severe.

Not to mention the cuts in federal aid to county and local governments.

Gambling expansion passed, and would raise some additional funds for the state. However, the increase in revenue for FY 2013 would be a bare $58 million, with not more than $200 million per year by 2017.Plus - the Department of Legislative Services' budget projections assumed that the referendum would pass. So the money is not "extra." it's already accounted for in the projections.


It seems unlikely that Congress will address the fiscal cliff before America falls off it. More likely is that the newly elected Congress takes up the issue after the fact early next year. It's unclear what the solution to the current gridlock might be, however. Voters mostly maintained the status quo last night. Democrats still control the White House and the Senate, while Republicans retained control of the House of Representatives. The hyper-partisan polarization that created the fiscal cliff will probably not abate.

Complicating matters for Maryland, the governor will likely have to present his budget to the General Assembly before the matter is resolved. The governor may reserve some amount in the budget to serve as a contingency for the fiscal cliff or it's resolution. or he may submit a budget in January based on the most reasonable assumptions, and leave it to the legislature to make adjustments as the budget bill works through the legislative process. If there is no answer when the legislature take final action on the budget in late march or early April (and that would be bad), then the Governor may propose adjustments to the budget for approval by the Board of Public Work after the budget is enacted.

In short, the national election - whatever else it accomplished - has done little to reduce Maryland's level of budget uncertainty.

Monday, October 8, 2012

The Week Ahead

Last week Neil Bergsman blogged about this week's Food Stamp Challenge, which he is participating in, while I blogged about the falling national unemployment rate. Neil also broke down Question 7 (the expanded gambling referendum) for Fox 5 DC. And last but not least, Greg Cantori officially joined the team as CEO of our parent organization Maryland Nonprofits last Monday.

Tuesday, October 9th
  • Advisory Council for Alternative Response meets. The Council is developing alternatives to traditional responses to cases of suspected child abuse or neglect. 1pm in room 1044, Department of Human Resources, 311 West Saratoga Street, Baltimore.
Wednesday, October 10th
Thursday, October, 12th
  • Maryland Economic Development Commission holds an infrastructure roundtable. 10am to noon at the Verizon office, 13100 Columbia Place, Silver Spring, MD.
  • Board of Directors of the Maryland Health Insurance Plan (MHIP) meets. Topics will include findings from an audit of MHIP; the Missing Federal Application Report; updates on procurements, the Senior Prescription Drug Assistance Program, and federal enrollment; and a discussion about MHIP/Exchange messaging. Participants may attend in person or by conference call. Dial in 888-769-8761 Passcode: 7592829. 9am in suite 630, 1 Calvert Plaza, 201 E. Baltimore Street, Baltimore.

Monday, September 24, 2012

The Week Ahead

Last week we blogged about the new revenue estimates for Maryland, the annual briefing of the Joint Committee on Welfare Reform, new data from the Census Bureau, and the August state-level employment figures. Also last week, Governing Magazine highlighted our brief on expanded gambling.

Monday, September 24th
  • Exchange Financing and Sustainability Advisory Committees of the Maryland Health Benefit Exchange Board meet. 2-4pm at the Maryland Health Care Commission, 4160 Patterson Avenue, Baltimore.
  • Board of Directors of the Maryland Health Insurance Plan meet about messaging and a memorandum of understanding between MHIP and the Exchange. 3pm in suite 630, 1 Calvert Plaza, 201 E. Baltimore Street, Baltimore.
Tuesday, September 25th
Wednesday, September 26th
Thursday, September 27th
Friday, September 28th

Monday, August 13, 2012

The Week Ahead

The special session on gambling continues this week. Last Friday the Senate approved Governor O'Malley's bill to allow table games and add a sixth casino in Prince George's County. The House Ways and Means Committee also held a hearing, and may vote on the bill today. The bill to determine dog owner liability without regard to breed (a response to the recent court ruling on pit bulls) is also moving forward.

Last week we blogged about threatened cuts to SNAP, the Thornton gap, a summary of the gambling bill now under consideration, and the sales tax holiday.  

Monday, August 13th
Tuesday, August 14th
  • Advisory Council for Alternative Response holds its monthly meeting. The Council advises the Department of Human Resources as it develops an alternative response system for certain reports of suspected child abuse or neglect. 1-3pm in room 1044 of the Department of Human Resources, 311 West Saratoga Street, Baltimore.
  • Community Services Reimbursement Rate Commission meets. 6-8pm in the conference room of the Maryland Association of Community Services, 8835 Columbia 100 Parkway Unit P, Columbia.
  • According to the Baltimore Sun, the Senate hopes to meet at 7pm to vote on changes made in the House version of the gambling bill. If the House actually moves that fast, and the Senate passes the House version, the second special session could close this evening. However, the legislature could take until August 20th, the deadline for putting referenda on the November ballot. Any gambling bill passed after the 20th would have to wait until the 2014 election.
Wednesday, August 15th
Thursday, August 16th

Friday, August 10, 2012

Gambling bill summarized

The Senate Budget and Taxation Committee has approved the administration's gambling expansion bill with minor amendments. It will likely receive a favorable vote in the full Senate and a hearing in the House Ways and Means Committee today, with House action occurring next week.

Senator Richard Madaleno of Montgomery County - one of the legislature's leading fiscal experts -  has prepared a clear and succinct summary of the administration's bill to expand gambling in the special session. The good Senator has agreed to let us share it with you: 

* * *
"Background
During the 2012 Legislative Session, the General Assembly reviewed, and the Senate passed, two bills providing for the expansion of legal gambling in Maryland. As a result of a constitutional amendment passed by voters in 2008, state law currently allows five slots facilities located in the following jurisdictions: Allegany County, Anne Arundel County, Baltimore City, Cecil County and Worcester County. Three of these sites are already open and producing revenue for the state, while the other two sites – Baltimore City and Allegany County – are still in the conceptual phase. The two bills introduced during the 2012 Legislative Session would have allowed the current sites to additionally offer a range of table games, as well as authorized a sixth site to be located in Prince George’s County near the Woodrow Wilson Bridge, with National Harbor and Rosecroft Raceway both potential sites.

During the regular session, the legislature and the Governor could not come to an agreement on a gaming expansion package, resulting in neither of the two bills introduced passing into law. However, there was consensus regarding the need for additional work to properly assess gaming expansion proposals, which could provide additional revenue for state funded public education. Under the provisions of the 2008 constitutional amendment, any expansion beyond the five authorized gambling sites is automatically subject to a statewide voter referendum during the next regularly scheduled general election. Since general elections in Maryland only occur every two years, there was a predictable push to finalize a proposal before the August 20 deadline to place referendum issues on the 2012 General Election ballot.

As such, on May 21, Governor O’Malley announced the formation of a special “gaming” workgroup of eleven members to review the various expansion measures in preparation for a second Special Session in July/August. Together with two other Senators, [Senator Madaleno] was appointed to the “Workgroup to Consider Gaming Expansion”, which began its work on June 1 and issued its final recommendations on June 20. Despite broad consensus amongst workgroup members on a majority of recommendations, a unanimous agreement could not be reached on the conditions related to the addition of a sixth gaming site in Prince George’s County.

However, recognizing a significant opportunity to improve the effectiveness of the state’s gaming program and expand investment in public education, over the past several weeks the Governor has utilized the workgroup recommendations as a framework for continued discussions with members of the General Assembly and relevant stakeholders. With the recent announcement convening a Special Session, the Governor appears confident that a newly crafted gaming bill – based upon stakeholder and workgroup input - will pass the legislature. Below [is a summary of] the main provisions of the bill, a draft copy of which was released this week.

Bill Summary
As proposed, the Governor’s gaming legislation adopts a majority of the recommendations supported by the “Workgroup to Consider Gaming Expansion”, with several key additions:

• Establishes that 100% of all state proceeds from gaming revenue will be invested directly in public education, deposited in the Maryland Education Trust Fund. It is estimated that the Education Trust Fund will receive approximately $200 million per year once all six sites are functioning in 2016.

• Authorizes a sixth casino in Maryland, to be located in Prince George’s County, with the caveat that a majority of both Prince George’s County voters and statewide voters must approve the issue at referendum. If Prince George’s County voters reject the ballot question in November, a sixth casino site is not authorized. Should voters in Prince George’s County approve the issue at referendum, a competitive bidding process for the operating license will be administered by the State. Should Prince George’s County voters reject the ballot initiative but voters statewide approve, all legislative provisions unattached to the sixth site will go into effect.

• Authorizes table games (i.e. blackjack, poker, etc.) at all state gambling sites at a tax rate of 20%. Video Lottery Terminal (VLT) or “slots” will continue to be taxed at the current rate of 67%. However, if a sixth site is approved by voters, negatively impacted facilities in Baltimore City and Anne Arundel County may retain an additional 5% of VLT proceeds for advertising and capital improvement costs.

• Transitions “slots” procurement responsibilities from the State to casino operators. Currently the State is responsible for purchasing and leasing the “slots” machines at casino sites at a cost of 13% of total revenues. By transferring this responsibility, the State will generate significant savings for the Education Trust Fund. As compensation for the transfer, casino operators will receive an additional 6% of proceeds if they own or lease the VLTs and associated equipment/software.

• Establishes a Gaming Commission, under a reconstituted State Lottery Agency, to review and protect the State’s interests. The seven member commission would be appointed by the Governor with the advice and consent of the Senate and led by an “expert” Executive Director. Other stipulations require that the commission be bi-partisan, reflect the demographic diversity of the state, and consult with a third party consultant to provide continual analysis of the Maryland gaming industry. Additionally, with legislative oversight, the newly formed Gaming Control Commission may adjust the Baltimore City and Anne Arundel casino’s VLT revenue percentages by no more than 5%.

• Bans political donations from gambling companies.

• Allows the state’s casino’s to operate 24 hours a day, seven days a week. However, facilities would still have to abide by local liquor laws, so that while gaming operations could continue they would still have to close their bars.

• Incorporates a “hold harmless” provision, specifying that local jurisdictions currently authorized to host casino sites will not see a reduction in local impact revenues due to the addition of a sixth site. Under current law, local jurisdictions hosting one of the five authorized gaming facilities receive 5.5% of “slots” proceeds to compensate for additional public safety and transportation costs."
 * * *

Thursday, August 9, 2012

Slot Machines, Schools, and The $718 million Thornton Gap


In the special legislative session that opened today, Governor Martin O’Malley and Maryland’s legislative leaders are promoting expanded gambling as a way to help Maryland’s schools. The Governor asserts that expanded gambling will provide $100 million for Maryland’s public schools.

So it’s important to look at how gambling revenue affects school funding. Even though 48.5 percent of casino proceeds go to an “Education Trust Fund,” it’s not quite right to say that this has increased funding for education. In fact, the typical public school classroom now gets $21,000 less in state funds than the amount intended by the landmark 2002 "Thornton Formula."
 

 

 

 

Here is what has Happened

The “Thornton Formula,” enacted in 2002 increased and reformed Maryland system of providing state funding for local schools. It was supposed to provide adequate funding for the “thorough and efficient” system of public education required by Maryland’s constitution, and to eliminate gaps in student achievement between richer and poorer school systems.

The program operated as intended from 2003 to 2008, increasing state aid to schools by nearly 80%.
After that time, the formula was supposed to adjust annually to keep pace with enrollment and education costs.

In 2008, Maryland voters approved slot machine gambling with the promise that the bulk of the funds would go to support schools. The legislature established the “Education Trust Fund” to receive these funds.
At the same time, the national recession hit, throwing Maryland and almost every other state into a severe revenue shortfall.

The Thornton Gap 

Part of Maryland’s budget balancing strategy was to freeze or limit the inflation factor in the per-pupil amount. The per-pupil amount, which drives the total funding, did not increase in fiscal years 2009, 2010, 2011, and 2012. The legislature allowed a 1 percent increase in the current fiscal year 2013. The increases are limited to 1 percent through fiscal year 2015. So, funding levels have adjusted for increases in student population, but not for cost increases.

What about the money from the slot machines? It did go to public schools, as advertised. But an equivalent amount of tax money went away to help balance the state budget.  The “Education Trust Fund” turns out to be a shell game.

If the formula had been adjusted for actual inflation and enrollment, the state’s school aid would be $718 million more than it is now. That comes to a difference of more than $21,000 for a typical classroom of 25 students. The graph above shows the “Thornton Gaps” for Maryland’s largest school systems.

Without this money, schools have increased class sizes; eliminated programs in foreign languages, physical education, and art; cut supplies and equipment in classrooms, libraries and labs; and reduced after-school and summer program opportunities. These cuts have hit all of Maryland’s schools systems, and they have fallen hardest on those that serve the most disadvantaged kids.

"For Maryland, for our Future"

That was the slogan Governor O'Malley and other gambling proponents used to support the 2008 slot machine referendum. At MBTPI, we understand that the state has to balance its budget, and we appreciate that Maryland’s Governor and legislature have protected education funding from the deepest and most severe cuts. Places like Virginia, Ohio, Arizona and Hawaii have cut their local schools much more severely.

But now there is a need to repair the damage. We need to make good on the promises for Maryland's future - and especially to Maryland's students. If the legislature and Maryland’s voters approve gambling expansion now, they must also make a commitment to restore the formula amounts to the levels required by the original Thornton formula over a reasonable period of time. If we leave the Thornton Gap open we break our promise to today’s kids and we disinvest in Maryland’s future.

Monday, August 6, 2012

The Week Ahead

Legislators will return to Annapolis Thursday in a second special session. On the table will be adding a sixth gambling location in Prince George's County, allowing table games and internet gambling, and possibly liability issues for pet owners. The outcome of this special session is less predictable than the first, but there are some indications that whatever happens will take about a week.

One news item of note that we neglected to highlight when it happened last week was the state bond sale. On Wednesday the state sold more than $700 million in general obligation bonds at very favorable rates. The low interest rates were possible because of the actions taken by the governor and legislature to protect Maryland's AAA bond rating by drawing down the structural deficit over the last several years and responsibly balancing the budget.
 
Tuesday, August 7th
  • Maryland Nonprofits offers Harnessing the Power of LinkedIn for Outreach, Networking, and Prospecting. This is a Maryland Nonprofits training; go to their website for more information or to register.
Wednesday, August 8th
  • Maryland Nonprofits offers an introductory webinar about the Standards for Excellence program. This is a Maryland Nonprofits training; go to their website for more information or to register.
  • Maryland Nonprofits offers Board Orientations and Handbooks. This is a Maryland Nonprofits training; go to their website for more information or to register.
Thursday, August 9th
Friday, August 10th

Monday, July 30, 2012

The Week Ahead

Last week we blogged about the 1.2 million Marylanders who are set to gain critical health care protections next year, thanks to the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, and the governor's announcement of a second special session to focus on gaming, beginning August 9th.

Tuesday, July 31st
  • Video Lottery Facility Location Commission meets. The Commission is the state body responsible for awarding the five licenses to operate video lottery operations. The primary topic at the second special session will be whether or not to add a sixth license. The Commission will discuss various legal proceedings, an update on gambling implementation, an overview of the background investigation of a Baltimore City license applicant, and consideration of the Baltimore City license proposal. A portion of the meeting will be held in closed session.  1pm in the Joint Hearing Room of the Legislative Services Building, Annapolis.
  • Governor's Commission on Small Business holds a board meeting. 10am to noon in the 17th Floor Conference Room at the World Trade Center, 401 East Pratt Street, Baltimore.
  • Maryland Nonprofits offers Researching and Writing Foundation Grant Proposals 101. This is a Maryland Nonprofits training; for more information or to register go to their events page.
Wednesday, August 1, 2012
Friday, August 3rd

Friday, July 27, 2012

Wild Cards in the Special Session on Gambling


Governor Martin O’Malley has called the state legislature into special session beginning August 9 to deal with gambling issues. The administration will propose legislation to authorize an additional gambling location in the National Harbor development in Prince George’s County, and to allow table games (like blackjack, roulette and craps) at all of the casino sites in Maryland.

The proposal would then go to the voters for consideration at the November election.

The Governor indicated that the proposal would produce $100 million for education. He indicated further that it would include measures to hold harmless the jurisdictions that are already authorized for casino sites – including Anne Arundel County and Baltimore City.

Several considerations remain to be disclosed – of maybe they remain to be decided. That is to say, there are some wild cards in this game.

Will there actually be more money for schools? Up until now, the linkage between gambling money and schools has been nebulous. I described it in the Gazette newspapers as “financial sleight of hand.” You see, the bulk of the gambling revenues go into a “Education Trust Fund.” The trust fund money goes towards state aid to public school systems.

But the law that set up the trust fund did not change the funding formulas to increase the amount of funding for public schools. So what happened is that the slot machine money replaced other money from the state’s general fund.

The state is forecast to have a $400-to-$500 million revenue shortfall for next year. In the eyes of state budget-makers, the money from expanded gambling is just the first $100 million or so towards solving that problem. There might not be any extra money for schools. It may all go to help fill the projected revenue shortfall. (Of course, the state has to balance its budget somehow, so the alternative could be other cuts that would be just as bad).

Finally, while the voters are needed to expand gambling (because the approved type and locations for gambling is in the state Constitution), the legislature can adjust the tax rate on the casinos any time (because that's just a regular law).

There is a lot of suspicion that once the expansion is in place, the gambling interests will ramp up pressure to cut back on their tax rate.

Their “tax rate” IS where the money for schools comes from. If the legislature is going to let the casinos keep more of the profits, that will mean less money for schools, or more budget cuts somewhere else.

So, there are wild cards in this gambling game. If the state is going to expand gambling, it should assure that the schools come out ahead, and that future education funding is protected.




Thursday, June 21, 2012

Gambling workgroup falters

The Workgroup to Consider Gaming Expansion failed to reach a consensus yesterday, as the likelihood of a second special session retreated.  The sticking point appears to be whether to keep the 67 percent tax rate on casinos or reduce it. Members representing the House of Delegates were willing to support a sixth casino, if it delayed opening until 2016 and if the tax rate remained the same.  While supporters of a casino at National Harbor were willing to delay its opening, they argued that it only made business sense if the tax rate were lowered.

However, there was significant agreement on other issues, including:
  • Allowing table games such as blackjack and poker.  This could net the state an additional $51 million, and create 1,900 jobs.
  • Transferring ownership of slots machines from the state to the operators. This would save Maryland about $80 million annually.
  • Establishing an independent gambling commission to oversee casino operations, separate from the lottery commission.
  • Ending restrictions on casinos' hours of operation.

The consensus suggests some or all of these issues could be addressed in the 2013 regular legislative session. The 2013 legislature could act on the recommendations regarding ownership of the machines, the organization of the regulatory commission, and hours of operation. Of course, those are not the big issues. The legislature could also act to adjust the tax rate on gaming proceeds, which is one of the big issues.

However, any expansion of gaming - either to a new location or for table games, requires approval by the voters in a referendum. If there is indeed no special session prior to the November election, those issues will need to wait for the next statewide general election in November 2014.

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Room for gambling expansion

That was the conclusion drawn by the Department of Legislative Services and its consultant, PricewaterhouseCoopers, in a report today to the General Assembly's Workgroup to Consider Gaming Expansion.

The report concluded that adding a casino at National Harbor and allowing table games would raise an additional $160 million for the state. That could go a significant way toward solving the roughly $400 million structural deficit. Even if the report proves somewhat optimistic, another $100 million in income would be welcome relief for legislators facing another year of difficult decisions.

Opponents of gaming expansion, particularly the current casino operators, were undoubtedly disappointed.  Others making moral arguments against gambling expansion-such as Dan Rodricks in a recent column-will likely be undaunted.  Yet it seems to us that the difference in moral hazard between five and six casinos is negligible. The larger difference might be in allowing live table games; there are some interesting questions about the income stratification of who plays what games. Allowing live table games might be the more progressive move.

This report makes it more likely that legislators will return in July for a special session to expand gambling.  How much more remains to be seen, however.  And of course any expansion would have to be put to Maryland voters in November.

MBTPI wrote a guide to the original slots referendum in 2008.  If the issue is put to referendum in November be sure to look for our update to that guide.